Unprecedented Debt Fuels AI Expansion, Raising Concerns of a Tech Bubble

The AI boom’s $96 billion debt mountain on infrastructure partners raises alarms about financial stability and a potential bubble.

November 28, 2025

Unprecedented Debt Fuels AI Expansion, Raising Concerns of a Tech Bubble
A torrent of debt is financing the colossal expansion of artificial intelligence infrastructure, raising concerns about financial stability within the technology sector and beyond. An analysis has revealed that key partners of major AI labs like OpenAI have amassed approximately $96 billion in debt to construct the vast data centers and acquire the specialized chips necessary to power the AI revolution.[1][2] This borrowing boom highlights a critical shift in how the next phase of technological advancement is being funded, moving from equity and profits to large-scale, leveraged financial instruments.[3] The sheer scale of the investment is staggering, with projections suggesting that the global AI infrastructure market could reach $758 billion by 2029.[4]
The epicenter of this debt accumulation revolves around the immense computational demands of generative AI. Companies are racing to build and equip hyperscale data centers, a process that requires billions in upfront capital for advanced GPUs, power, and cooling systems.[5] In just September and October of 2025, major tech players like Meta, Oracle, and Alphabet issued a combined $75 billion in bonds and loans, more than doubling the sector's annual average from the previous decade.[5] This surge is not limited to established giants. Smaller, specialized firms such as CoreWeave have also taken on significant debt. CoreWeave, an AI cloud provider, has raised over $25 billion through a mix of equity and debt, including a recent $2.6 billion loan facility specifically to support a long-term agreement with OpenAI.[6][7] The company previously secured a $7.5 billion debt facility in May 2024 and another $2.3 billion in August 2023, illustrating the rapid pace of its debt-fueled expansion.[8][9][10] This strategy is mirrored across the industry, with a new debt market emerging where AI chips themselves, particularly high-demand Nvidia GPUs, are used as collateral for billions in loans.[11][12][13]
This financing model, however, places the bulk of the financial risk on the infrastructure partners rather than the AI developers themselves. OpenAI, for instance, has committed to an estimated $1.4 trillion in multi-year contracts for chips and computing power, a figure that starkly contrasts with its expected revenue of roughly $20 billion this year.[14][2][15] Despite these massive commitments, OpenAI itself carries very little debt, with an unused credit line of $4 billion.[15][16] The prevailing strategy appears to be leveraging the balance sheets of partners to facilitate growth.[17] Oracle, a key partner, has already issued $18 billion in bonds to fund OpenAI's infrastructure and is expected by some analysts to borrow as much as $100 billion in the coming years to fulfill its obligations.[14][17] Similarly, SoftBank has raised significant funds through bond issuances to finance its AI investments, including those related to OpenAI.[18][19][20]
The implications of this debt-heavy approach are far-reaching and a subject of growing debate among financial analysts. The massive influx of capital is undeniably accelerating the development and deployment of AI technologies. Morgan Stanley projects that AI-related data center spending could cumulatively reach $2.9 trillion between 2025 and 2028, with about half of that requiring external financing.[5] However, this rapid leveraging introduces significant risks.[21][22][23] Concerns are mounting about the potential for a bubble if the anticipated revenues from AI fail to materialize at the expected scale, potentially leading to defaults and wider financial stress.[5][24] The median debt-to-EBITDA ratio for U.S. data center operators has already climbed, indicating rising leverage.[5] Furthermore, the concentration of debt within a single, unproven sector could pose a material risk to the broader corporate bond market.[21][25]
In conclusion, the AI industry is in the midst of an unprecedented infrastructure build-out, financed by a mountain of debt that is reshaping the financial landscape of the tech sector. While this strategy enables the rapid scaling necessary to meet the voracious demands of modern AI, it also concentrates immense financial risk on the shoulders of infrastructure providers and their lenders. The long-term sustainability of this model hinges on whether the revolutionary promise of artificial intelligence will translate into sufficient profitability to service the massive debts being incurred. The coming years will be a critical test of this high-stakes financial gamble, determining whether the current boom is the foundation for a new economic era or the prelude to a significant market correction.[5][24][3]

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