Chinese AI Firms Race Past OpenAI, Securing Public Market Capital First

The race for compute drives Chinese AI startups to IPO first, setting a public benchmark ahead of private US titans.

December 31, 2025

Chinese AI Firms Race Past OpenAI, Securing Public Market Capital First
A pivotal shift is underway in the global artificial intelligence landscape as a wave of prominent Chinese AI startups bypass their Silicon Valley counterparts to access the public markets first, signaling a critical divergence in the development and commercialization of frontier technology. The most notable example is Zhipu AI, a leading Chinese large language model company, which is on track to become the first pure-play LLM company globally to complete an Initial Public Offering, with trading anticipated to begin on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. The Beijing-based startup, officially registered as Knowledge Atlas Technology Joint Stock Co. Ltd., aims to raise hundreds of millions of dollars, with a post-IPO valuation estimated at approximately $6.6 billion, following the pricing of its share sale.[1][2][3] This move places Zhipu AI ahead of Western titans like OpenAI and Anthropic, which are still restructuring and working out their own IPO plans, with Anthropic reportedly targeting a public debut as early as the following year.[1][4] The success of domestic rivals like Deepseek, an open-source large language model developer, has fueled investor appetite, driving a broader surge that saw Hong Kong's stock exchange record its busiest month since late 2019, with a high proportion of listings coming from the technology sector.[1]
The rush to the public markets by China’s "new AI tigers," a group that also includes MiniMax and Moonshot AI, is primarily driven by a voracious need for capital to fund the highly resource-intensive development of foundation models and related infrastructure.[5][4] While they are generating significant revenue growth—Zhipu AI, for example, reported an impressive 130 percent compound annual growth rate in revenue from 2022 to 2024, reaching a total of 3.1 billion RMB in the latter year—these companies operate at a massive net loss due to the high costs associated with research and development for their Model-as-a-Service platforms.[6][7] For these firms, entering the public market is a strategic imperative to secure the necessary equity and debt financing for long-term survival and competitiveness in a global arms race that requires exponentially increasing computing power. The early public listing offers a critical advantage: an immediate injection of capital that can be directed toward securing scarce resources like advanced GPU chips, talent acquisition in a fiercely competitive market, and a faster path to commercial scale.[5]
This early IPO strategy by Chinese firms contrasts sharply with the longer-term private financing approach favored by their American counterparts, which often involves raising capital at colossal private valuations. For instance, while Zhipu AI and MiniMax are valued at a more modest range of around $4 billion to $6.6 billion, their revenue figures are significantly smaller than the U.S. leaders.[8][9][1] OpenAI, despite its non-profit roots and unique corporate structure, is estimated to have an annualized revenue far exceeding its Chinese rivals and has been tied to valuations in the range of hundreds of billions of dollars in private markets.[8][9][1] Similarly, Anthropic has raised billions at a substantial valuation, with one report placing it in talks for a private funding round that would value the company at around $300 billion.[1][4] The decision by U.S. firms to remain private is often attributed to a desire to protect long-term, ambitious goals like achieving artificial general intelligence from the short-term quarterly pressures and financial KPIs demanded by public market shareholders.[3] However, this protracted private status forces them to rely on massive, but less frequent, private fundraising rounds, while the Chinese firms are now establishing a public market benchmark for the generative AI sector.[3]
The ability of Chinese AI startups to list so quickly is also intricately tied to the broader economic and regulatory environment within China, which provides both tailwinds and unique challenges. These startups are heavily backed by China’s most powerful tech conglomerates, including Alibaba, Tencent, Ant Group, Meituan, and Xiaomi, a lineup that underscores their national strategic importance.[1][3] Furthermore, a concerted national strategy, with significant state backing for the domestic semiconductor industry and AI development, creates a vertically integrated ecosystem where startups, government agencies, and universities are part of a coordinated pipeline.[10][11] This centralization allows Chinese companies to move with greater speed and scale in deploying models into production.[11] Crucially, many Chinese developers have demonstrated an ability to train and run powerful models more cost-effectively, often using older-generation chips not subject to stringent U.S. export controls, a competitive edge that allows them to offer hosting services at dramatically lower prices than their U.S. peers.[12] DeepSeek’s pricing, for example, has been estimated to be up to 40 times cheaper than OpenAI's for comparable models.[12] This cost efficiency has led to the quiet adoption of Chinese models even by US companies and developers, a trend that highlights a significant and often overlooked competitive gain.[12]
The long-term implications of this public market lead are profound for the global AI industry. By becoming publicly traded entities first, Chinese AI companies gain direct access to global institutional investment and a permanent capital source to fund their continuous research and development cycles. This allows them to effectively scale their computational resources at a time when chip access is a critical geopolitical bottleneck. While they must now navigate China’s challenging regulatory landscape, which includes government rules requiring AI-generated content to pass an “ideological test,” their early public status grants them a new kind of market legitimacy and financial firepower.[9] The race to AGI is increasingly a race for compute and a race for capital. China’s AI startups are now ensuring that the path to a public war chest for the next generation of intelligence is charted from Hong Kong, placing a new form of competitive pressure on their still-private Silicon Valley rivals to accelerate their own plans for financial maturation. The opening bell for Zhipu AI does not just mark an IPO, but the symbolic start of a new, fully industrialized phase in the international competition for artificial intelligence dominance.[1][11]

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